{"id":6678,"date":"2019-10-01T10:41:15","date_gmt":"2019-10-01T10:41:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/?p=6678"},"modified":"2019-10-01T10:59:31","modified_gmt":"2019-10-01T10:59:31","slug":"the-green-new-deal-building-a-secure-future","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/blog\/the-green-new-deal-building-a-secure-future\/","title":{"rendered":"The Green New Deal: Building a secure future"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>The Green New Deal\nrecognises that we live in a world of massive insecurity. The UK\u2019s neoliberal economic\nmodel has over the last forty years reduced the security of employment,\nyoung people, savings, pensioners, the vulnerable, those needing access to\nhousing and so much more. What we now also know is that the economic model that\ncreated this insecurity has also been harming our planet. Almost everyone now\nagrees that the climate science argument is settled: global heating is our\nfault. As a result, we have to beat human-created global warning unless we want\nto become extinct. The consequence of neoliberalism is, then twofold: we must\nbuild a new society in which we can both survive and prosper within the\nconstraints our planet imposes. We are nowhere near this position now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Green New Deal <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Green New Deal,\nin almost every iteration I have seen, is a variation on the plan produced by\nthe London-based Green New Deal Group that first reported in July 2008, shortly\nbefore the crash of Lehman Brothers and the onset of the Global Financial\nCrisis. Those objectives might be summarised, in my view, as seeking to provide:\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Security for our planet by limiting and then reversing climate change;<\/li><li>Securing food supplies by supporting biodiversity;<\/li><li>Securing jobs for the long term by creating:<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>The energy efficient housing we all must live in;<\/li><li>The new energy generation systems we need,<\/li><li>The public transport infrastructure we require to replace carbon fuelled vehicles, <\/li><li>The \u2018circular economy\u2019 to minimise waste and resource use;<\/li><li>The new agriculture we require;<\/li><li>The forests that must be a part of our landscape;<\/li><li>The businesses that can meet our needs in a sustainable future, and<\/li><li>The social facilities we will need in the future.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How will we do this? <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Green New Deal has an ambitious programme to achieve these aims. It will, for example, seek to transform the UK\u2019s 30 million buildings so that they are all energy efficient by 2030, creating hundreds of thousands of jobs on the way right across the UK. It will also supply the training and support services that this will require. In the process it will turn as many of those buildings as possible into power stations by fitting solar panels and other generating capacity, and it will fund the building of the new social housing required to end our housing crisis whilst investing in renewable energy of all sorts, on and offshore, that will guarantee that they can be net-zero, carbon neutral. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Green New Deal\nwill also fund significant investment in local public transport, with an emphasis\non reducing dependency on fossil fueled cars. Investment in research and\ndevelopment that will seek to address the problems of a green transition for\nfreight, sea and air transport will also take place. And whilst all this is\nhappening business will be required to transform itself to become zero net\ncarbon: the Green New Deal and its associated National Investment Bank will\nhelp provide the capital to assist business to do that if they cannot find it\nthemselves. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Throughout this the\nGreen New Deal will seek to provide security for people\u2019s jobs and long-term\nprospects, as well as providing secure opportunities for their savings, which\nwill be used to fund this innovation at better rates of return than most savers\nenjoy now. As a result, the Green New Deal will also deliver pensions that will\nwork. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How much will this cost?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Current best\nestimates suggest that the Green New Deal will in itself cost at least \u00a350\nbillion a year. On top of that requiring that businesses be net-zero carbon &#8211;\nas it is going to have to be &#8211; will create additional costs and that business\nwill need help to fund this transition. The need may then be for \u00a3100 billion a\nyear of investment for at least a decade. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This sum does,\nhowever, need to be put in context. \u00a3100 billion is just 5% of the UK\u2019s annual\nincome, which is a small price to pay for a secure future. And in addition, it\nis only about 8% &#8211; or less than a twelfth &#8211; of total UK private wealth. It is\neasy to get carried away with thinking that programmes costing multiple billions\nof pounds are unaffordable. In the case of the Green New Deal there is,\nfirstly, no option but invest if we are to survive. And second, the sums\ninvolved are completely affordable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How do we pay for this?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is very likely\nthat the transition that the Green New Deal requires can be paid for without\nincreasing taxes, at all. That is because the tax reliefs that direct the way\nthat the wealth of the UK is saved should instead be used to redirect funds to\nthe Green New Deal. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>About \u00a3100 billion a year\nis paid into UK pension funds and all of that money gets tax relief from the\ngovernment. The total tax subsidy costs \u00a354 billion a year. If 25% of those\ncontributions were required to go into Green New Deal Investments in exchange\nfor that tax relief that would supply about \u00a325 billion a year to the Green New\nDeal. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In addition, about\n\u00a370 billion is saved in Individual Savings Accounts (ISAs) each year. If ISA\ntax relief was dependent on these funds being invested in the Green New Deal in\nfuture through GND related gilts and other bonds of the types noted below, with\na government guaranteed rate of 1.5% on all bonds issued by government related\nor backed institutions, it might be that all this money would be available to\nthe Green New Deal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In that case these two sources of funds should, by themselves, fund the whole cost of the Green New Deal. It is important to add though that all this new economic activity undertaken by people in secure and well paid employments would create significant additional tax revenues that would help pay for a lot of the Green New Deal as well, or other measures to relieve the impact of austerity. In that case it is likely that the suggested funding is more than adequate to fund the whole Green New Deal programme. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>What are Green New Deal Investments?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Green New Deal\ninvestments that ISAs and pension funds might invest in will take the form of a\nwhole range of products, including:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Green gilts specifically issued by central government to fund Green New Deal projects, for which new reporting measures would be required;<\/li><li>Bonds issued by a National Investment Bank to fund the Green New Deal;<\/li><li>Local bonds issued by devolved governments, cities and counties that want to pursue their own Green New Deals;<\/li><li>Approved shares and bonds that will be issued by companies to fund their Green New      Deal projects.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Providing both liquidity and security to Green\nNew Deal investments <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At present the UK has\nwhat is called <a>a Financial Services Compensation Scheme<\/a>. This means that anyone who has up to \u00a385,000 in a bank\ndeposit account is guaranteed to be repaid by the government if that bank\nfails. Everyone involved knows the value of a government backstop guarantee for\ntheir savings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Green New Deal should,\nit is suggested, involve a similarly guarantee. Every single Green New Deal\napproved bond or deposit or loan (but not shares, if ever these were approved)\nof the types noted above should be backed up by the government to the same\nlimit as that supplied by the Financial Services Compensation Scheme. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This guarantee is\neasy to arrange, and finance. The government can offer such a guarantee because\nunlike anyone else a government can create the money needed to back up its\npromises, which is precisely what it did when over the last ten years it effectively\nsupplied \u00a3435 billion of funding to UK banks and other financial institutions\nthrough its quantitative easing (QE) programme, which funding backed up their\nsolvency. Replicating this guarantee scheme for the Green New Deal is, it is\nsuggested, the proper use for what has become known as Green QE. What Green QE\nguarantees is that the money to deliver the Green New Deal will always be\nsecure and that liquid markets for Green New Deal investments will exist. In\nthat case it is more than likely that enough funds to finance the Green New\nDeal will be invested without there ever being need to resort to this\nguarantee: the promise will be enough in itself to mean it will never be called\nupon. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>How does business play a part on the Green\nNew Deal?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It seems obvious, but\nis rarely said, that Green New Deal has to involve everyone, including all businesses.\nTo make sure business is fully involved in the Green New Deal accounting rules\nneed fundamental revision. What should be required is that all large businesses\n(to start with, at least) should:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Prepare a plan for how they and their supply chains will become net-zero carbon      emitters, ideally by 2030;<\/li><li>Cost  this plan;<\/li><li>Have that plan audited, and then publish it;<\/li><li>Then include the whole cost of transition in their accounts by not later than 2022.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>In some cases, this\nwill show that the business cannot fund that transition based on currently\nidentifiable sources of capital. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sometimes it will be\napparent that this is because in the long term that business cannot survive:\nit\u2019s doing something that we can no longer permit if life is to continue here\non earth. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In other cases what\nwill be required is new capital: if the case for survival can be made then the National\nInvestment Bank should be there to help: using its resources it should provide\nthe support to ensure that these businesses, and the jobs of those who work in\nthem, will make it to the new world that we must live in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But for those\nbusinesses that cannot make the transition then a new form of insolvency will\nhave to be created. For obvious reasons it should be called \u2018carbon\ninsolvency\u2019. This will require the orderly winding up of the affairs of the\ncompanies involved, and the investment of new funds to assist those whose jobs\nwill be impacted. The National Investment Bank will be the source of this\nfunding. The Green New Deal is all about job creation: it will invest to ensure\nthat promise is\nfulfilled. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And, it should be\nsaid, for those businesses that look like they can prosper with zero net carbon\nemissions, then the future will look very good indeed. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>What the suggested\nform of accounting will do, then, is exactly what accounting should always\nprovide, which is the indication that society needs as to whom to trust with\nits capital. That is precisely why accounting will play a key part in the Green\nNew Deal process. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The Green New Deal will deliver long-term\nsecurity:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The result is that\nthe Green New Deal will deliver the security we need:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>For people;<\/li><li>For jobs;<\/li><li>For the environment;<\/li><li>For sustainable businesses;<\/li><li>For our savings;<\/li><li>For young people;<\/li><li>For pensioners;<\/li><li>For the services we all rely on.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It has long been my belief that the Green New Deal is the way to secure the world we need to live in. Now is the time to prove it. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Photo credit: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/ari\/47393457661\/in\/photolist-2fcZRNn-2eFaKGU-2eFaKGJ-25gjCeK-aCEfq5-2f8a1c9-2fNKFoo-2faYVEf-2dhQ2o4-R9gF5a-T6xddL-2cXGDFV-QTfbCx-SoXsNW-2eFRUUG-Rrt8kT-2dNXYKn-RQJU29-2fJYkkK-RXSjKk-2dg8zhH-2deqkrv-2dg8z5D-RbKh8v-2dg8zaD-ewq3n3-ewmT7K-T6YVGh-SPVGMm-2dzgM3n-S8JvHE-SPVGD5-6AsB8A-24A8FcV-aCBA2z-ewq3cd-ewmTJe-6AosDk-S8JrDh-Rrim9t-2daPEko-2ecfixq-2eFRUo1-2dykgTP-2euEp6x-2eceL79-SABpZC-5HMmiX-23EonyT-2aZ5wDu\">Flickr \/Steve Rhodes<\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Richard Murphy, one of the Green New Deal&#8217;s original co-authors, outlines how he would finance green transformation  \u2013 and build a fair economy for all at the same time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":6686,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"default","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[198],"class_list":["post-6678","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-climate-change"],"acf":[],"authors":[{"term_id":163,"user_id":0,"is_guest":1,"slug":"prof-richard-murphy","display_name":"Richard Murphy"}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6678","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6678"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6678\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6690,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6678\/revisions\/6690"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6686"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6678"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6678"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/progressiveeconomyforum.com\/development\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6678"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}