• Head of Finance and Macroeconomics at the UCL Institute for Innovation and Public Purpose.

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Falling house prices may seem like a good thing – but it’s renters who are paying the price

Council member Josh Ryan-Collins writes on the housing crisis in the Guardian on 3rd March 2023

“UK house prices are falling. In the year to February, prices fell by 1.1% to reach their lowest level for over a decade. The drivers are clear: inflation and rising interest rates are combining to put off mortgage borrowers…

Falling prices may seem like a good thing: the average home in England currently costs around nine times the average annual disposable household income. However, they would have to fall by a massive amount to return to the level of affordability – around 4.5 times income – that preceded the last major bubble of the late 1990s. Such a collapse would almost certainly cause a financial crisis and disastrous recession.”

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