Economic activity

Rethinking ‘Crowding Out’ and the Return of ‘Private Affluence and Public Squalor’

This article traces the history of ‘crowding out’, and its use as a justification for austerity and state deflation from its origins in the 1920s to its latest post-2010 incarnation. It examines why governments have kept turning to austerity and continue to justify it on the grounds that public sector activity crowds out more productive private activity, despite the accumulated evidence that this traditional pro-market formulation has failed to deliver its stated goals. It examines three other embedded forms of crowding out that have been highly damaging—leading to weakened social resilience and more fragile economies—but which have been ignored by both governments and mainstream political economists.

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Grangemouth refinery

Global inflation still driven by food and energy prices. Recession is the likely result.

The IMF reports that inflation globally continues to be driven by rises in the price of food and energy: Food and energy are the main drivers of this inflation… Indeed, since the start of last year, the average contributions just from food exceed the overall average rate of inflation during 2016-2020. In other words, food

Global inflation still driven by food and energy prices. Recession is the likely result. Read More »

How bad will it get?

There’s an unpleasant calm before the storm feel to British politics at the minute. Anyone who remembers the period from the end of 2006 through to the debacle of autumn 2008, with the failure of Northern Rock as a half-way point, will be familiar with the sensation: of watching an increasing number of the proverbial

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